Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 13-22 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 11-11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter