Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (124-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 13-20 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 11-18 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 30 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins * | 27 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 20 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dereon Seabron | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter