Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 13-26 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 11-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 1-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 25 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter