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2023-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 4-15 0-5 2-2 3 5 0 2 10 - -
Ausar Thompson * 32 2-9 0-1 5-7 16 2 0 1 9 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 6-13 3-5 2-4 11 2 0 0 17 - -
Killian Hayes * 24 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 23 6-12 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Kevin Knox II 24 7-8 4-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Alec Burks 20 3-7 2-6 8-9 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Marcus Sasser 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 5 - -
James Wiseman 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 2 6 - -
Jaden Ivey 11 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 11-19 2-3 5-5 1 1 0 4 29 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 6-14 1-6 6-6 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 8-17 3-7 2-2 12 4 2 1 21 - -
Coby White * 31 6-14 3-6 1-2 0 7 2 0 16 - -
Torrey Craig * 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 10 2 1 0 3 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 26 6-7 0-1 1-2 1 3 3 0 13 - -
Patrick Williams 19 0-2 0-1 4-6 0 0 1 1 4 - -
Andre Drummond 14 5-8 0-0 1-2 13 1 2 0 11 - -
Jevon Carter 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter