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2023-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% -
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks +22 (129-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 32 13-20 4-8 2-2 7 6 1 1 32 - -
Gordon Hayward * 29 3-9 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Mark Williams * 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 0 10 - -
P.J. Washington * 21 1-8 1-5 1-2 2 3 0 1 4 - -
Brandon Miller * 9 5-6 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Theo Maledon 25 2-12 2-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 6 - -
JT Thor 23 2-6 2-5 0-2 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Nick Richards 22 7-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 16 - -
Bryce McGowens 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Ish Smith 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 4 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 7 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Leaky Black 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Amari Bailey 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 30 9-16 4-6 2-3 4 2 1 1 24 - -
Julius Randle * 27 8-16 1-4 6-8 5 5 3 0 23 - -
Jalen Brunson * 26 7-12 2-4 4-4 1 1 1 0 20 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 23 5-7 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 0 10 - -
Quentin Grimes * 23 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Josh Hart 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 5-9 4-6 3-3 5 9 0 0 17 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 22 3-8 1-6 2-3 1 2 0 1 9 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 17 2-3 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 2 6 - -
Jericho Sims 6 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Miles McBride 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter