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2023-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 36 7-22 2-6 5-6 7 5 2 1 21 - -
Darius Garland * 35 6-13 3-5 4-6 6 4 5 0 19 - -
Max Strus * 32 6-9 2-3 2-2 8 4 1 0 16 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 6-10 0-1 7-7 5 2 1 1 19 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 2-6 0-0 8-9 5 4 0 0 12 - -
Caris LeVert 35 8-18 2-7 4-5 5 3 4 1 22 - -
Georges Niang 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 16 2-4 2-4 2-2 7 0 0 0 8 - -
Craig Porter 1 0-0 0-0 1-6 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Tristan Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Emoni Bates 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 32 9-24 4-14 8-8 3 2 1 1 30 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 6-12 1-4 0-2 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Klay Thompson * 27 5-16 2-5 2-2 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 2 - -
Draymond Green * 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 8 - -
Chris Paul 26 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 9 3 0 9 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 20 2-7 0-1 8-11 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Moses Moody 17 2-4 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Dario Saric 16 2-5 0-3 1-1 5 1 0 1 5 - -
Gary Payton II 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Brandin Podziemski 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Cory Joseph 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter