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2023-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% -
Points Off/Def 14.4% 85.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +23 (117-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 28 6-17 0-4 5-6 7 3 3 0 17 - -
Scottie Barnes * 28 4-15 2-9 0-0 5 4 1 1 10 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 3-13 2-8 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Dennis Schroder * 25 3-7 1-3 7-7 1 4 1 0 14 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 6-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Malachi Flynn 22 5-7 2-4 0-1 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 - -
Gradey Dick 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Jalen McDaniels 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 10-18 3-9 4-6 5 4 0 1 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 31 12-20 3-8 2-3 5 2 0 0 29 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 7 1 2 8 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 27 9-14 3-7 0-1 7 3 0 0 21 - -
Derrick White * 25 2-5 0-3 0-1 4 5 0 1 4 - -
Al Horford 24 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 7 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Sam Hauser 18 4-6 4-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Luke Kornet 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Dalano Banton 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter