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2023-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +15 (112-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 15-22 0-1 5-12 10 7 4 2 35 - -
Cameron Payne * 25 6-8 2-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 21 3-7 2-5 1-2 3 1 1 2 9 - -
Malik Beasley * 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Khris Middleton * 19 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 7 0 1 10 - -
Bobby Portis 27 4-11 2-5 3-4 7 1 2 0 13 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 19 2-7 0-2 1-3 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Jae Crowder 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
AJ Green 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Chris Livingston 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Suggs * 38 5-11 2-4 8-10 2 2 1 0 20 - -
Paolo Banchero * 38 10-22 2-5 4-5 12 5 1 0 26 - -
Franz Wagner * 37 8-16 2-6 6-7 6 3 1 0 24 - -
Anthony Black * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze * 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 0 2 - -
Joe Ingles 23 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 7-9 1-1 4-5 4 1 1 0 19 - -
Jonathan Isaac 17 3-10 2-4 2-2 5 0 2 1 10 - -
Cole Anthony 14 0-3 0-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 4 - -

* = starter