Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (126-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 19-25 | 0-1 | 16-18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 54 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 38 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 22 | 4-14 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter