Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 45 | 12-25 | 5-8 | 9-12 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 38 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 41 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 39 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 31 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 4-16 | 0-7 | 15-19 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 27 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter