Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 6-17 | 6-13 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 14-25 | 1-8 | 6-10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 32 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter