Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (116-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 39 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 15-25 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 26 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 11-26 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 29 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter