Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (128-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 8-23 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 31 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 13-16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 15-22 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter