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2023-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 11-27 2-8 9-10 8 8 0 0 33 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 36 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Ausar Thompson * 36 3-8 0-1 0-0 15 3 0 1 6 - -
Killian Hayes * 29 6-15 0-3 2-2 5 4 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Duren * 28 5-10 0-1 1-1 12 5 0 0 11 - -
Marcus Sasser 28 11-17 3-7 1-1 6 2 1 0 26 - -
Marvin Bagley III 19 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 1 12 - -
Jared Rhoden 12 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Stanley Umude 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 37 3-6 2-4 2-3 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Damian Lillard * 33 10-25 2-12 12-13 2 3 3 0 34 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 5-8 4-6 0-0 6 0 0 4 14 - -
Malik Beasley * 24 4-6 1-2 1-1 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 21 6-16 0-2 3-6 9 5 0 3 15 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 26 4-8 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Cameron Payne 23 1-4 1-3 4-4 1 3 2 0 7 - -
Bobby Portis 22 7-14 1-4 3-3 5 2 0 0 18 - -
Pat Connaughton 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter