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2023-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +34 (128-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 27 7-13 0-2 4-5 6 2 0 0 18 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 27 9-18 4-7 0-0 2 4 0 3 22 - -
Taurean Prince * 26 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Austin Reaves * 25 2-9 0-4 3-3 1 4 2 0 7 - -
Christian Wood * 21 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Max Christie 27 1-8 0-2 2-3 8 3 0 1 4 - -
Rui Hachimura 25 10-14 2-3 2-5 8 2 2 1 24 - -
Cam Reddish 24 2-7 0-3 3-4 1 0 3 0 7 - -
Colin Castleton 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
D'Moi Hodge 10 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 1 3 - -
Maxwell Lewis 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 29 2-9 1-6 4-4 4 10 1 0 9 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 4-8 2-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 12 - -
Alperen Sengun * 25 8-10 0-0 3-4 7 4 0 0 19 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Green * 21 11-15 5-6 1-4 7 3 1 0 28 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 27 6-10 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 14 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Tari Eason 14 4-10 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 1 9 - -
Jock Landale 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jeff Green 10 4-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Nate Williams 7 2-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Boban Marjanovic 6 3-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter