Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (134-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hawkins * | 37 | 10-19 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 36 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 10-22 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 15-24 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter