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2023-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (126-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 5-18 1-5 11-11 4 11 1 0 22 - -
Jalen Johnson * 33 6-15 0-4 1-2 12 5 3 1 13 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 2-13 1-7 3-4 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Dejounte Murray * 32 7-16 6-9 9-10 4 6 1 0 29 - -
Clint Capela * 21 2-5 0-0 2-4 12 0 1 2 6 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 26 7-14 3-8 0-0 2 3 2 0 17 - -
Saddiq Bey 26 6-11 3-6 0-0 8 2 0 0 15 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 3-8 0-1 1-1 14 0 0 0 7 - -
Garrison Mathews 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 11-20 3-7 5-6 8 6 1 0 30 - -
Jalen Williams * 36 8-13 2-5 3-3 3 2 0 1 21 - -
Chet Holmgren * 33 4-14 1-3 7-7 12 3 1 3 16 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 6-10 2-5 5-5 9 3 0 2 19 - -
Josh Giddey * 27 4-13 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 0 8 - -
Cason Wallace 24 3-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 4 0 6 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 4-8 4-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Jaylin Williams 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 1 6 - -
Ousmane Dieng 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Wiggins 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter