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2023-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 42 12-22 2-8 6-8 5 2 5 0 32 - -
Jrue Holiday * 41 4-16 0-4 4-6 11 6 1 0 12 - -
Jaylen Brown * 39 10-21 3-8 3-4 7 4 1 0 26 - -
Al Horford * 36 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 5-14 2-6 8-10 5 1 1 1 20 - -
Sam Hauser 24 3-8 3-8 2-2 4 0 1 1 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 15 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 2 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 45 8-18 4-9 0-0 2 1 1 0 20 - -
Rudy Gobert * 40 6-6 0-0 2-11 12 1 0 1 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 38 15-25 2-8 6-7 9 7 1 0 38 - -
Mike Conley * 36 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 27 3-10 1-7 0-0 10 3 0 0 7 - -
Kyle Anderson 25 1-6 0-2 1-2 5 6 0 1 3 - -
Naz Reid 25 5-9 2-4 2-2 4 2 2 2 14 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 19 3-6 2-4 0-1 1 3 1 0 8 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Shake Milton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter