Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -15 (102-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 29 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 26 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter