Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (39.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +41 (152-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 21 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 19 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Toppin * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 27 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 12 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 11 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter