Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (109-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 12-26 | 7-17 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 14 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 8-16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Chris Paul | 21 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 34 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 33 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 15 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter