Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (124-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 39 | 11-23 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 33 | 9-23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 20 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 8-19 | 1-9 | 6-7 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 31 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 32 | 5-17 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter