Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 8-16 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 24 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 19 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 11-19 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 12-13 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 31 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter