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2023-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -7 (116-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 42 9-20 5-10 7-11 11 6 3 3 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 38 8-16 7-13 1-4 7 4 1 0 24 - -
Dennis Schroder * 38 10-19 1-8 3-4 3 6 2 1 24 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 2-12 1-4 3-3 6 5 1 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 28 8-10 0-0 0-2 10 0 3 1 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 29 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 10 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Gradey Dick 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 1 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Collins * 38 8-17 1-6 4-6 11 5 0 1 21 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 37 7-16 2-7 4-5 9 4 1 5 20 - -
Keldon Johnson * 37 11-18 2-4 2-2 6 3 2 0 26 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 28 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 5 3 0 4 - -
Malaki Branham * 25 8-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 16 - -
Tre Jones 32 3-11 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Doug McDermott 24 4-8 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Charles Bassey 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Julian Champagnie 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter