Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (106-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 14-27 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 41 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ausar Thompson * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 12-24 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 29 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Cazalon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter