🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (123-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 7-16 0-1 3-4 3 6 0 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 4-12 1-5 3-4 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Coby White * 30 4-10 1-4 2-2 2 5 2 1 11 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 8-17 1-2 2-2 7 3 0 0 19 - -
Torrey Craig * 27 3-6 0-1 1-1 6 3 1 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams 28 2-7 0-5 3-4 3 3 1 2 7 - -
Jevon Carter 17 6-9 4-5 0-1 0 1 0 0 16 - -
Andre Drummond 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 14 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Julian Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Onuralp Bitim 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 3 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Terry Taylor 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 34 4-9 1-3 6-8 12 5 2 1 15 - -
Nikola Jokic * 33 9-16 1-3 9-9 16 9 3 0 28 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 30 9-16 5-10 4-5 6 2 1 2 27 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 10 - -
Jamal Murray * 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Reggie Jackson 25 6-10 3-5 1-2 1 3 0 1 16 - -
Peyton Watson 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Christian Braun 17 4-8 1-3 1-2 5 4 1 0 10 - -
DeAndre Jordan 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Collin Gillespie 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Julian Strawther 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Zeke Nnaji 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Hunter Tyson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Pickett 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter