Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +18 (107-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 38 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 7-22 | 4-14 | 3-3 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 20 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter