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2023-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 85.5% 14.5% -
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% -
Margin 90.5% 9.5% -12.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% -
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -10 (114-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 10-20 6-10 6-6 11 1 0 0 32 - -
Jrue Holiday * 40 6-15 4-9 2-2 9 10 0 1 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 7-22 2-11 7-8 5 4 0 1 23 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 8-10 1-2 5-8 7 1 0 3 22 - -
Al Horford * 30 4-7 0-3 0-0 7 3 1 1 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 14 5-5 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 0 11 - -
Oshae Brissett 10 1-4 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Thomas * 37 11-24 2-6 3-3 5 3 1 1 27 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 7-20 4-11 1-1 6 4 1 1 19 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 36 5-10 4-9 0-0 8 1 0 0 14 - -
Royce O'Neale * 36 2-15 2-13 0-0 4 3 1 1 6 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 8-14 3-7 0-3 6 6 0 0 19 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 17 5-8 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 16 3-4 0-0 5-8 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 2 5 - -
Trendon Watford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Armoni Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter