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2023-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 63.2% 36.8% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (105-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 7-15 3-7 5-6 5 12 1 0 22 - -
Dejounte Murray * 37 8-20 2-9 2-2 8 7 0 0 20 - -
Jalen Johnson * 35 8-13 2-3 3-4 11 4 0 0 21 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 1-3 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Clint Capela * 28 8-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 17 - -
Saddiq Bey 26 5-13 2-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 20 4-14 2-10 0-0 5 2 1 2 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 4-6 2-3 7-8 6 0 1 1 17 - -
Garrison Mathews 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 33 6-13 1-5 0-0 2 1 3 1 13 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 5-12 1-6 2-3 1 6 2 3 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 9-16 0-0 7-10 5 3 0 0 25 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 6-10 1-3 3-3 7 3 0 1 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 6 - -
Jordan Hawkins 24 5-11 4-8 1-1 5 0 1 0 15 - -
Dyson Daniels 21 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 7 - -
Matt Ryan 16 1-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 - -
E.J. Liddell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter