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2023-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% -
Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Log Adjusted 11.9% 88.1% -
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -1 (124-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 33 10-17 1-2 2-2 6 3 0 2 23 - -
P.J. Washington * 33 6-13 1-1 2-2 3 4 1 2 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 31 7-14 3-5 5-5 6 3 0 1 22 - -
LaMelo Ball * 30 4-15 2-7 1-1 2 11 2 0 11 - -
Mark Williams * 30 9-12 0-0 9-9 7 1 2 2 27 - -
Brandon Miller 33 4-7 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Nick Richards 17 4-4 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 2 10 - -
JT Thor 14 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Theo Maledon 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 14-21 8-12 7-7 2 12 0 1 43 - -
Bruce Brown * 31 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 6 2 0 7 - -
Myles Turner * 26 5-9 3-5 1-2 6 2 1 0 14 - -
Obi Toppin * 25 5-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 23 3-11 0-2 2-2 5 5 1 0 8 - -
Buddy Hield 26 7-15 5-13 0-1 6 2 0 2 19 - -
Aaron Nesmith 25 1-5 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 2 4 - -
Jalen Smith 21 4-6 2-3 1-2 9 1 0 0 11 - -
Andrew Nembhard 17 3-9 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter