Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -11 (121-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 15-26 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 38 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 34 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 16 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 22 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 26 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 17 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter