🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 81.4% 18.6% -
Bradley-Terry 75.1% 24.9% -
Margin 85.2% 14.8% -9.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% -
Points Off/Def 19.7% 80.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 38 4-8 2-4 0-0 5 9 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 34 3-7 1-3 4-6 8 0 0 2 11 - -
Cade Cunningham * 33 8-22 2-7 4-5 2 11 1 0 22 - -
Ausar Thompson * 25 5-17 0-6 6-7 7 5 0 1 16 - -
Jalen Duren * 25 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Marcus Sasser 23 6-10 5-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 19 - -
Joe Harris 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Jaden Ivey 21 4-6 1-3 3-4 7 0 0 1 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III 13 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 6 - -
Stanley Umude 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Ryan * 35 7-10 6-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 20 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 10-23 3-10 10-11 4 5 0 0 33 - -
Herbert Jones * 34 6-7 0-1 9-9 5 3 3 4 21 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 9-16 2-3 3-4 13 5 0 3 23 - -
Jordan Hawkins * 29 1-7 1-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dyson Daniels 24 3-4 2-2 2-2 7 6 1 0 10 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 19 1-5 0-1 4-4 3 4 1 0 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Dereon Seabron 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter