๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2023-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +1 (102-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 39 4-15 0-7 2-2 6 3 2 0 10 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 8-16 0-1 7-12 11 8 0 0 23 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 4-8 4-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 14 - -
Davion Mitchell * 29 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 4 3 0 13 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 4-11 1-5 2-2 9 3 1 0 11 - -
Malik Monk 24 5-9 3-5 3-3 3 2 0 2 16 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Colby Jones 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 - -
JaVale McGee 10 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Chris Duarte 6 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 32 7-15 4-10 3-3 5 3 0 0 21 - -
Klay Thompson * 29 6-15 1-4 1-1 2 2 0 3 14 - -
Draymond Green * 27 4-7 2-4 3-4 2 9 2 2 13 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 25 6-10 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 0 6 - -
Chris Paul 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 8 0 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Dario Saric 19 6-9 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 17 4-9 1-2 3-3 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Moses Moody 15 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter