🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (114-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 10-17 1-3 0-0 20 1 2 0 21 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 7-17 5-9 3-3 2 1 2 0 22 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 5-13 0-1 6-6 3 7 1 0 16 - -
Coby White * 32 4-12 1-6 1-2 1 4 0 0 10 - -
Patrick Williams * 24 0-6 0-5 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 - -
Alex Caruso 22 3-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 6 - -
Torrey Craig 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 15 5-7 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 12 - -
Andre Drummond 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 10 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 40 5-16 1-8 7-9 7 10 2 1 18 - -
Dereck Lively II * 33 3-5 0-0 1-4 13 6 2 1 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 31 7-13 3-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 17 - -
Grant Williams * 30 7-10 7-9 4-6 5 1 1 0 25 - -
Josh Green * 26 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 27 8-15 7-13 1-1 3 2 1 0 24 - -
Jaden Hardy 14 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Seth Curry 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Dante Exum 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Dwight Powell 10 0-0 0-0 5-6 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Maxi Kleber 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter