Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +21 (110-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 11-23 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 15 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 31 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 30 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 27 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 19 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter