Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (128-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 38 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 38 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter