Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (41.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +51 (155-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Toppin * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 20 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 27 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 18 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 26 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 26 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 25 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 19 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter