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2023-11-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (130-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 25 11-21 1-6 2-3 9 6 0 0 25 - -
Deni Avdija * 23 10-16 2-4 0-1 5 3 2 1 22 - -
Tyus Jones * 22 3-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 6 - -
Mike Muscala * 21 2-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Jordan Poole * 20 5-13 2-6 1-1 0 1 1 0 13 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 27 2-5 1-4 0-2 3 3 3 0 5 - -
Delon Wright 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 9 2 0 3 - -
Danilo Gallinari 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Corey Kispert 13 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Landry Shamet 12 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Johnny Davis 10 3-6 0-1 1-1 1 0 3 0 7 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 7 3-6 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Ryan Rollins 7 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 6 - -
Anthony Gill 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 7-18 1-3 8-9 3 10 2 0 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 10-15 3-5 1-2 4 8 1 1 24 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 8-16 2-7 5-6 7 3 2 0 23 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 4-10 2-7 4-4 7 0 1 0 14 - -
Clint Capela * 20 4-6 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 0 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 6-8 0-1 4-4 11 2 0 1 16 - -
Jalen Johnson 23 3-7 0-2 2-2 11 2 0 0 8 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 23 4-10 1-5 3-3 3 1 1 1 12 - -
AJ Griffin 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter