Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +19 (130-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 25 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 16 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 28 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 28 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 24 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 21 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter