Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 37 | 10-24 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 29 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 16 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 12-16 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter