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2023-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 74.4% 25.6% -
Margin 85.1% 14.9% -9.6 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -28 (102-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 30 15-22 7-13 5-7 5 5 2 0 42 32 -
Kevon Looney * 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 8 12 -
Draymond Green * 21 3-8 0-2 0-0 6 7 0 1 6 12 -
Moses Moody * 20 5-8 2-5 1-1 3 4 0 0 13 12 -
Andrew Wiggins * 20 4-8 1-2 0-2 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
Chris Paul 25 6-10 1-5 0-0 6 5 2 0 13 16 -
Brandin Podziemski 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 5 10 -
Dario Saric 20 2-7 1-4 1-2 10 2 0 1 6 12 -
Gary Payton II 20 4-10 2-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 10 7 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 19 5-9 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 4 13 17 -
Cory Joseph 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jerome Robinson 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lester Quinones 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Hawkins * 35 6-13 2-7 0-2 5 2 2 0 14 10 -
CJ McCollum * 33 7-21 2-8 3-4 6 5 1 0 19 10 -
Zion Williamson * 29 7-15 0-1 5-9 5 3 2 0 19 14 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 4-11 1-5 2-2 6 3 0 2 11 11 -
Herbert Jones * 22 1-5 0-4 2-2 2 1 2 1 4 5 -
Matt Ryan 27 4-9 3-7 1-1 2 2 1 0 12 8 -
Dyson Daniels 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 9 -
Larry Nance Jr. 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 10 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 4-6 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 11 8 -
Kaiser Gates 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Cody Zeller 4 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter