Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (110-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 11-22 | 6-12 | 7-10 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 26 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 12-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 28 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter