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2023-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.4% 16.6% -
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% -
Margin 95.8% 4.2% -17.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 69.2% 30.8% -
Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Log Adjusted 89.7% 10.3% -
Points Off/Def 82.0% 18.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -19 (107-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 31 13-24 8-13 2-4 6 2 3 1 36 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 14-21 4-9 1-1 6 3 0 0 33 - -
Jrue Holiday * 26 4-7 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 2 11 - -
Derrick White * 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 8 2 1 5 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 23 7-9 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 1 15 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 0-8 0-6 0-0 7 6 1 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 25 3-10 2-9 0-0 8 1 0 1 8 - -
Al Horford 15 4-9 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Lamar Stevens 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 27 4-12 1-6 0-0 5 1 1 2 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 26 9-15 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 21 - -
Tyus Jones * 26 5-9 1-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 11 - -
Jordan Poole * 25 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 2 3 1 11 - -
Deni Avdija * 22 4-10 1-3 2-2 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Corey Kispert 23 3-6 3-6 0-2 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Danilo Gallinari 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Johnny Davis 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 12 5-5 1-1 3-4 6 1 1 1 14 - -
Ryan Rollins 12 0-2 0-0 7-8 1 3 4 0 7 - -
Delon Wright 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 - -
Anthony Gill 9 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jared Butler 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter