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2023-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 6-17 1-6 10-11 5 1 0 0 23 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 6-19 0-1 8-8 2 4 0 1 20 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 10-19 0-1 4-6 17 3 1 0 24 - -
Coby White * 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 1 9 - -
Alex Caruso 26 3-5 1-2 1-2 4 3 0 1 8 - -
Torrey Craig 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 5 - -
Jevon Carter 17 5-7 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 11 - -
Andre Drummond 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 36 6-12 3-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 15 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 6-16 1-8 6-7 5 13 2 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 31 6-14 3-8 5-8 11 3 0 2 20 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 27 4-11 1-4 6-6 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Obi Toppin * 23 2-5 0-2 2-2 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 27 1-4 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 2 5 - -
Andrew Nembhard 21 3-7 0-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 6 - -
Buddy Hield 18 4-12 3-8 0-0 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Smith 16 4-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 8 - -

* = starter