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2023-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (132-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 41 7-17 5-13 1-2 3 2 0 1 20 9 -
Anthony Davis * 41 11-22 1-2 7-8 16 2 2 3 30 31 -
D'Angelo Russell * 40 5-13 1-5 6-7 3 9 0 0 17 16 -
LeBron James * 39 11-19 3-8 2-6 15 8 0 0 27 31 -
Austin Reaves * 27 1-12 1-8 2-2 2 2 1 0 5 -2 -
Gabe Vincent 31 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -
Rui Hachimura 17 3-6 2-4 3-4 6 1 0 0 11 12 -
Christian Wood 13 3-3 2-2 3-3 5 1 0 0 11 14 -
Jaxson Hayes 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Cam Reddish 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 38 3-9 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 8 4 -
Kevin Huerter * 36 4-12 3-7 1-2 7 4 0 2 12 13 -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 5-8 1-1 1-3 15 5 1 0 12 25 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 14-24 3-8 6-8 4 8 1 1 37 27 -
Keegan Murray * 33 6-14 3-9 2-3 8 5 2 1 17 19 -
Malik Monk 24 7-17 4-9 4-5 3 3 0 0 22 11 -
Sasha Vezenkov 18 4-10 2-6 1-1 4 1 0 1 11 7 -
Davion Mitchell 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 5 -
JaVale McGee 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Chris Duarte 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 3 -
Kessler Edwards 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter