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2023-10-30

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (36.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: LA Clippers +40 (123-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 27 6-10 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 14 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 26 4-10 0-2 3-6 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Zach Collins * 24 4-11 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 9 - -
Keldon Johnson * 24 1-9 1-5 2-2 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 - -
Malaki Branham 21 3-12 2-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Tre Jones 20 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 5 - -
Charles Bassey 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 16 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 12 - -
Doug McDermott 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Blake Wesley 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 1 1 - -
Julian Champagnie 6 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Dominick Barlow 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 27 8-17 2-7 1-1 4 5 5 0 19 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 27 6-13 3-7 6-7 3 4 2 0 21 - -
Russell Westbrook * 26 8-13 3-5 0-3 8 3 1 1 19 - -
Robert Covington * 26 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 - -
Ivica Zubac * 22 6-7 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 1 16 - -
Bones Hyland 21 7-14 4-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Mason Plumlee 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Norman Powell 19 5-11 2-5 1-2 3 1 2 1 13 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 17 4-6 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 10 - -
Nicolas Batum 14 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Brown 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Moussa Diabate 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter