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2023-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -17 (110-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 32 5-14 3-8 7-9 3 11 1 0 20 - -
Dejounte Murray * 29 6-12 1-5 2-2 1 5 2 1 15 - -
Jalen Johnson * 25 6-10 2-3 0-0 7 1 2 1 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 24 6-10 2-4 1-1 3 1 4 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 23 5-10 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 0 12 - -
Saddiq Bey 30 4-9 1-3 4-5 9 3 0 0 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 26 6-10 4-7 1-1 1 6 2 0 17 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 22 7-11 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 14 - -
AJ Griffin 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Trent Forrest 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Bufkin 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Mouhamed Gueye 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 31 6-12 4-10 2-4 4 1 2 0 18 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 9-14 0-1 8-10 11 3 1 2 26 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 2-12 2-8 0-0 4 5 2 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder * 25 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 - -
Brook Lopez * 20 5-11 2-5 1-1 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 2-9 1-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 21 5-10 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 12 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 16 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Cameron Payne 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
AJ Green 5 2-2 2-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Robin Lopez 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter