Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -11 (95-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 6-16 | 6-14 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Paul | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 32 | 2-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter