Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (42.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -33 (95-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 21 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 7 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 2-16 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 21 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter