Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +16 (106-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 8-23 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 28 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 25 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dru Smith | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 28 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Leonard Miller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter